01Nov
River Flow Outlook: Week of November 8, 2013
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Rainfall

Five to seven day outlooks have a slight chance of rain—about a quarter of an inch. Dry conditions are expected for next week (Figure 1).

Stream Flow

Both Alafia and Hillsborough Rivers are expected to sustain the current flow rates or a bit higher. Hillsborough River has pretty good chance of staying close to 75th percentile (Figure 2 and 3). 

Shaded areas are historical flows and forecast; open circle are current month observation whereas crosses are median forecast for the week starting 11/8/2013. 

Median forecast for Alafia River is 70 mgd (62 mgd to 81 mgd at 25% to 75% range). 

Morris Bridge median forecast is 102 mgd (95 mgd to 117 mgd at 25% to 75% range) weekly average.

Conclusion

There is enough of water to run SWTP for the current allocation for week to two. Alafia itself has around 11 to 13 mgd availability.

Figure 1. Seven Day Rainfall Outlook
Figure 2. Seven day flow outlook, Hillsborough River at Morris Bridge
Figure 3. Seven day flow outlook, Alafia River