Five to seven day outlooks have a slight chance of rain—about a quarter of an inch. Dry conditions are expected for next week (Figure 1).
Both Alafia and Hillsborough Rivers are expected to sustain the current flow rates or a bit higher. Hillsborough River has pretty good chance of staying close to 75th percentile (Figure 2 and 3).
Shaded areas are historical flows and forecast; open circle are current month observation whereas crosses are median forecast for the week starting 11/8/2013.
Median forecast for Alafia River is 70 mgd (62 mgd to 81 mgd at 25% to 75% range).
Morris Bridge median forecast is 102 mgd (95 mgd to 117 mgd at 25% to 75% range) weekly average.
There is enough of water to run SWTP for the current allocation for week to two. Alafia itself has around 11 to 13 mgd availability.